Thursday, April 17, 2014

The aging and growing population in Ontario - the consequences

http://www.fin.gov.on.ca/en/economy/ltr/2014/ch1.html


Infrastructure

Ontario’s projected population growth of 3.7 million by 2035 will result in significant demand for all types of infrastructure, from transportation, health care and education, to the electricity system and water management. For instance, an aging population and a growing number of seniors living on their own will likely have implications for housing needs, public transit and the delivery of community services.
investing $32.5 billion for public infrastructure investments over two years in all key sectors - including health, education, culture, tourism, sports and recreation, social and affordable housing, and water and environmental projects 
Green Economy
进入以小博大的行业,而非人力密集的行业
原因:单产可以增高,而从业人数可以不变,因此绿润率增高,薪水提高
 Ontario is “well positioned” to take advantage of the rising global share of market economies by developing countries like China by increasing exports from sectors such as agri-food, infrastructure, life sciences, communications technology, education, advanced manufacturing and financial services.

Cities in Ontario - look forward
http://www.orillia.ca/en/doingbusinessinorillia/resources/topontarioinvestmenttowns.pdf


Industrial outlook
http://www23.hrsdc.gc.ca/l.3bd.2t.1ilshtml@-eng.jsp?lid=9&fid=1&lang=en

industries outlook
1. mining industry > IT
2. outsourcing management - PMP, uniersity
3. Health Care and Social Assistance - It is essentially immune from business cycles as the demand for health care continues to increase in both good and bad economic times. 

Major occupations include:  assisting occupations in support of health services (NOC 341); nurse supervisors and registered nurses (NOC 315); other technical occupations in health care (NOC 323); psychologists, social workers and counsellors (NOC 415); and physicians, dentists and veterinarians (NOC 311). 
4. Public Administration - Major occupations include:  police officers and firefighters (NOC 626); administrative and regulatory occupations (NOC 122); policy and program officers, researchers and consultants (NOC 416); and administrative support clerks (NOC 144).

Ontario's labor shortage map:
http://www.workforcecoalition.ca/downloads/coalition_report.pdf
http://www.otf.ca/en/knowledgeSharingCentre/resources/aging_population.pdf

The none-choice action to aging population policy from Ontario Goverment:
1. Increase budget on public expense
2. Bring in more immigrant
3. 所有的研究集中在怎么帮助老人和解决社会劳力短缺问题,很少研究这是一个商机;而美国有ASSISTED LIVING模式是赢利性的养老解决方案,目前在加拿大还缺乏实施的条件
Assisted Living: http://www.sfu.ca/uploads/page/10/GRC_030.pdf


The choice of older age:
Hiring a full-time, privately paid caregiver may be an option, but usually only for wealthier seniors. All Provinces and Territories offer publicly subsidized home-based services, 
but demand for this assistance now outstrips supply. The unmet needs are especially great for elders with chronic disabilities who require continuous personal care and nursing services if they are to avoid having to move to a long-term care institution. 

The backbone of Canada's organized response to elder frailty, its publicly subsidized 
nursing homes, are also in short supply in most Provinces and Territories. Provinces, such as 
Ontario, Alberta, and British Columbia, have long waiting lists for nursing homes, and seniors 
often cannot be admitted into their first choices.

Conclusion:

  1. 老龄化对Healthcare行业求职是一个利好
  2. 老龄化还带来传统职位的空缺,刚好补充上去
  3. 想赚老人的钱基本上办不到


Dreams:
if we build it, they will come….and we will all be the better for it

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